Cadiz will face Osasuna in round 31 of La Liga at 0:30 on April 26th. Experts have predicted that Cadiz will win 1-0. The last game against Espanyol resulted in a draw, making it the sixth game out of the last seven that Cadiz have not won in La Liga. However, if analyzed in detail, their performance has not been particularly bad, especially in terms of Asian handicap, as they have won four out of these seven games, while only one was a professional victory.
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It is worth mentioning this information because Cadiz is the favorite and is given a 1/4 handicap, and everyone knows that only a win will cover this handicap. Perhaps the experts are valuing the danger and unpredictability of a team still at risk of relegation. Before round 31, Cadiz is currently in the safe group but only has a 2-point lead over the nearest relegation team.
Even so, the 1/4 handicap for Cadiz is still high if we know that the team coached by Sergio Gonzalez has the third-worst home record in La Liga this season (18 points out of 15 games). This is not the first time they have had a 1/4 (or 1/2) handicap at Nuevo Mirandilla Stadium, but the previous three times the opponents were all "relegation candidates" like them (Elche, Almeria, Getafe), while Osasuna is currently in the upper half of the table.
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In the first leg, Cadiz also suffered a 0-2 defeat. In the last 29 meetings between the two sides in La Liga, Cadiz have only won 4 times and lost 14 times against Osasuna. Although Osasuna's form may not be the best, they are still on par with Cadiz. Just a few days ago, Coach Arrasate's team beat Betis (who were in fifth place).
Osasuna also has a chance to compete for the top 6, as there are still 6 points behind with 8 rounds remaining. On away games, the team from Navarre has not lost too many games since the beginning of this La Liga season (5 out of 15 matches). With a handicap, a draw will be enough to bring joy to their fans. This additional information is mentioned to prove that Cadiz is truly reliable in the current handicap. Therefore, the prediction is that Cadiz will win.
Regarding the goal ratio, with a goal line of only 2, it is unlikely that there will be many goals (3 or more). In fact, recent statistics show that only 9 out of the last 10 games of Cadiz and 7 out of the last 9 away games of Osasuna have seen over 2 goals scored (only counting in La Liga).
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